The rains that recently hit Fallon County will be returning over the weekend and into the following week, according to the latest predictions from the National Weather Service office in Billings.
How much rain, the NWS wasn’t saying.
According to the forecast, there is an 80 percent chance the rain will be coming late Friday evening, the NWS said.
Rain is likely (70 percent) Saturday as the high temperature will stay around 48 degrees, with Sunday’s high reaching 53 degrees and just a little less of a chance for rain in the area.
By Sunday night, the chance of rain will drop to 20 percent, but that will be almost constant through Tuesday.
Earlier in May, the area received only trace amounts of rainfall, according to the information reported to the NWS from the Baker Municipal Airport. The most recorded so far in May was .01 inches at the airport. The day before, May 1, the region was part of a red flag warning of extreme fire danger because of dry conditions in eastern Montana, western North Dakota and northwestern South Dakota.
And that drought will be continuing until the region gets much more water, NWS Billings meteorologist Shawn Palmquist explained recently.
“As far as the weather patterns, it seems that most of the storms have only given Fallon and Baker just glancing blows. Most of the precipitation has been to the south and west.”
“It is tough to say if this pattern of glancing blows to Baker will persist. Looking ahead, things look unsettled. From what we are seeing there is not a big system while it does look like there is a chance for other systems to move through (the region) over the next week. I am not seeing anything that will be bringing multiple inches of rain.”
That weather condition forecast by Palmquist brought between a trace of rain to the .01 inches reported at the airport.
“We may see a system coming through every couple of days, (so) it is better than nothing,” he added.
But the forecast for the rest of the summer is still unsettled. “That is not to say that we can’t get some monsoonal thunderstorms later on in the summer,” Palmquist explained. “There is still potential for thunderstorms to bring some rain.”
Pattern wise, there may be no change in the current cycle of some light precipitation followed by warm and dry weather being repeated in the Fallon County area. “That’s ongoing, but we’ll have to wait and see. As far as the eight to 14 day outlook, there is a nudge to a little better probability of above normal temperatures where Fallon is just on the edge.
Looking further ahead, there is equal chances of above normal, normal and below normal precipitation,” he said in April.